"In the next few years, the growth rate of global industrial robots is expected to be 6%, and the growth rate of service robots will be as high as 17%. The potential market for service robots is huge and it is about to usher in an outbreak. Whether or not the future of service robots can be achieved depends on Original technology and friendly interaction, especially robot intelligence and emotional intelligence,†Ren Fuji, an academician of the Japanese Academy of Engineering and an academician of the European Union Academy of Sciences, recently said at the 2018 International Intelligent Service Robot and Special Robots Summit.
The demand for global service robot market is huge
In Japan, service robots are developing rapidly. Ren Fuji predicts that by the time of the 2020 Tokyo Olympic Games, service robots will have the same market size as industrial robots. In 2035, the overall robotics industry in Japan is expected to reach 9.7 trillion yen, of which the service robot will be twice the size of industrial robots.
Ren Fuji said that after the human society has experienced the hunting society, agricultural society, and industrial society, it is currently in the intellectual society, and it will transition to an unemployed society in the future. The characteristics of the Zhiye society are that artificial intelligence is highly developed and many human tasks will be replaced by robots. An important issue for service robots is how to make robots sense emotions and interact emotionally with humans.
At present, the better-developed areas of global service robots are relatively concentrated, and the development of service robot application scenarios is far from adequate. There are not many service robot products that actually circulate on the market, and the market as a whole shows a big but not strong situation. Products are seriously homogenized, low-end, and personalized service products are scarce. Really intelligent service robots are almost zero.
Ren Fuji stated that the current service robot still lacks the original achievements and innovative ideas of core technologies and key technologies. The future of service robots is toward intelligent and emotional development, and finally reaches for human-computer coexistence. It needs to focus on the perception of multiple emotions and how to let robots recognize human emotions and create robot's own emotions.
China's innovation speed can not meet market demand
According to Hao Yucheng, secretary general of the China Robotics Industry Alliance, the scale of China's service robot market reached RMB 14 billion in 2016. It is estimated that the annual sales revenue of service robots will exceed RMB 30 billion by 2020. As of June 2016, there are more than 3,000 service robot companies in China, and the service robot industry chain is characterized by cross-winding of products and technologies. Service robots have moved from the laboratory into people's lives, gradually affecting people's lives. Service robots are moving in the direction of family, modularization, and intelligence, and their services are becoming more and more powerful.
Although the service robot industry in China is growing rapidly, compared to China's service robots, which are still in the initial development stage, most of the products are still in the R&D and test phase, and few service robots have been put into use and industrialized. The data show that in the past three years, the global growth rate of sales of service robots was as high as 19%. In 2015, the sales volume reached 5.45 million units, and the market size reached 8.2 billion US dollars. It is expected that the scale of the service robots market will reach 75 billion US dollars in 2020.
“The market demand for service robots in China is huge, especially in medical rehabilitation, assisting the elderly and assisting the disabled, and the speed of technological innovation cannot meet the demand for market growth. Most of the service robot products in China lack corresponding detection specifications and technical standards, especially It is necessary to speed up the development of standards in functional safety and information security,†said Hao Yucheng.
Hao Yucheng believes that some large companies have entered the service robot market and have improved the development level of China's robot industry with clear strategies and standardized management. In the future, the development of China's robotics industry needs to accelerate innovation in terms of strategy, philosophy, technology, and talents, accelerate the improvement of the level of system intelligence of service robots in China, and overcome the challenges of core technologies and underlying technologies.
"Artificial intelligence and robot-related technologies will inflection point between 2020 and 2025," said Wang Tianmiao, honorary director of the Institute of Robotics at Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, and chief technical advisor of Yarui Capital and the Real Estate Fund.
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